Dave Bondy
Politics • Culture • News
🚨ALERT🚨FBI Quietly Revises Crime Data: What’s Really Going on With U.S. Violent Crime?
Newly uncovered revisions to FBI crime statistics reveal a sharp increase in violent crime for 2022, raising questions about transparency and the reliability of government data.
October 16, 2024
post photo preview

When the FBI initially released its “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it proudly announced a 2.1% drop in violent crime nationwide, a statistic that quickly became a talking point for the Democratic Party. The claim was used to counter Donald Trump’s assertions that violent crime was on the rise in the U.S. But a year later, a quiet revision of these numbers has raised eyebrows, revealing a troubling discrepancy.

The Revised Numbers: A Sharp Increase in Violent Crime

In September 2024, the FBI released new data showing that violent crime in 2022 actually increased by 4.5%. This update includes thousands more cases of murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault than previously reported. Astonishingly, the FBI made no mention of this drastic change in its press release, leaving the public and researchers questioning the Bureau’s transparency. The only hint of the revision came in a small, cryptic note on the FBI website, stating, “The 2022 violent crime rate has been updated for inclusion in CIUS, 2023.” But unless one closely compares the updated data with the original, the magnitude of the shift goes unnoticed.

RealClearInvestigations (RCI) discovered this quiet revision by downloading the FBI’s new crime data and comparing it with the initial release from the previous year. The significant adjustment—without any public acknowledgment—raises critical questions about the integrity of the FBI’s crime reporting and its potential impact on public perception.

 

If you like my independent journalism consider becoming a paid subscriber for $5 a month. You can quit at anytime. I can only keep this newsletter free and keep doing this if I get support from great people like you.

Subscribed

Why Didn’t the FBI Acknowledge the Change?

More than three weeks after the revised data was released, the FBI has yet to offer an explanation or even admit to the dramatic revision. Researchers and experts are baffled by the lack of transparency. “The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data,” said Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary, who specializes in crime statistics.

These revisions go beyond minor tweaks. The updated 2022 data shows an increase of 80,029 violent crimes compared to 2021, including an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. Such a dramatic shift begs the question: Should we trust the FBI’s crime data going forward?

This is not the first time government agencies have been accused of revising critical data without proper disclosure. Earlier this year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics also quietly revised its job creation numbers, reducing the original estimate by 818,000 people. This pattern of silent corrections raises concerns about the accuracy and transparency of government data in general.

The Black Box of FBI Crime Data

The revisions also highlight a deeper issue with how the FBI collects and reports crime data. The FBI doesn’t simply count crimes reported to police—it uses estimates to account for incomplete data. These estimates rely on reports from police departments, many of which only provide partial-year data, and in some cases, cities report no data at all. Over time, the Bureau’s method of generating these estimates has shifted, impacting the crime rates reported to the public.

“The FBI’s processes, such as how it tries to ‘estimate’ unreported figures, has long been a black box, even to the Bureau of Justice Statistics,” said Jeffrey Anderson, former head of the DOJ’s Bureau of Justice Statistics. This lack of clarity makes it difficult for the public, researchers, and even lawmakers to fully understand how much guesswork goes into the “final” numbers the FBI releases each year.

Many experts believe that the FBI should have issued a clear explanation or press release regarding the significant 6.6% change in violent crime for 2022. Instead, the public was left in the dark, relying on independent researchers like Anderson and Moody to uncover the truth.

 

The Problem With Unreported Crimes

Another challenge with the FBI’s crime data is that it only tracks reported crimes. But according to the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), only 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes are ever reported to law enforcement. This discrepancy means the FBI’s data may paint an incomplete or misleading picture of crime in the U.S.

Nonreporting doesn’t affect all crimes equally. For instance, nearly all murders are reported, but rapes, assaults, and robberies often go unreported. However, the reliability of even the murder rate is questionable after the FBI underreported 1,699 murders and 54,216 motor vehicle thefts in its initial 2022 data.

What Do the Alternative Numbers Show?

The FBI isn’t the only agency tracking crime in the U.S., and its recent revisions stand in stark contrast to data from other sources. The Bureau of Justice Statistics’ NCVS, which interviews 240,000 people annually about their personal experiences with crime, paints a far more alarming picture.

According to the NCVS, violent crime actually increased by 4.1% in 2023. Even with the FBI’s revised numbers, the 4.5% increase in 2022 pales in comparison to the NCVS’s finding of a 29.1% increase that year.

Additionally, the NCVS reports staggering increases in crime during the Biden administration: rape is up 42%, robbery is up 63%, and aggravated assault has surged by 55%. These figures mark the largest three-year increase in violent crime since the NCVS began tracking crime rates decades ago.

What Does This Mean for the Future of Crime Reporting?

With the FBI’s revisions leaving many unanswered questions, it’s clear that public trust in government crime data is at risk. “This lack of transparency harms the FBI’s credibility,” said David Mustard, a crime researcher and professor at the University of Georgia.

While headlines earlier this year declared that violent crime was plummeting, it’s becoming increasingly clear that these rosy narratives may have been based on incomplete or inaccurate data. As Americans continue to express concern about rising crime rates, particularly in urban areas, the discrepancy between reported and unreported crime has never been more critical to address.

As the FBI prepares to release its 2023 data, many will be watching closely to see if the Bureau once again quietly revises its numbers—and whether the public will finally get the full story.

SOURCE:

https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/

community logo
Join the Dave Bondy Community
To read more articles like this, sign up and join my community today
2
What else you may like…
Videos
Posts
Articles
This is video of one of the meteors taken from a home in Waterford, Michigan. Thanks to John for the video.

This is video of one of the meteors taken from a home in Waterford, Michigan. Thanks to John for the video.

00:00:24
Intense wind, rain and lightening in Saginaw County, Michigan. storms michiganwesther

Intense wind, rain and lightening in Saginaw County, Michigan. #storms #michiganwesther

00:01:02
February 19, 2026
BREAKING: Anthony Hudson For Governor tells me he is leaving the Republican Party.

BREAKING: Anthony Hudson For Governor tells me he is leaving the Republican Party.

00:08:17
News they don't want you to see
Thursday April 9, 2026

I left my high paying job in the mainstream media to go independent. I rely on paid subscribers to keep this going. Consider supporting my mission. Click the button below.

 

 

 
 

Minneapolis Might Bring Back Bathhouses As Spaces for Sex and Queer Community

The Minneapolis City Council is considering a proposal to bring back bathhouses where people can have sex. And it’s provoking a wider conversation around stigma, criminalization, and community.

The proposal involves four related measures, introduced on March 26. They include plans to amend regulations for places “where sexual activity between consenting adults may be facilitated” and to update “provisions pertaining to indecent conduct and disorderly houses, adding exceptions for licensed establishments where sexual activity between consenting adults may be facilitated.”

“The council is expected to take up the ordinance discussion again on Thursday,” part KSTP TV, a local ABC affiliate. Click here to read more.


Click here to learn more about these Rapid Radios. Push to talk Nationwide walkie talkies. I love them for my family.

 

Click here to learn more and get an extra 10% off.


 

Government-Funded Censor Told State Dept. Its Testing Wouldn’t Focus On U.S. Audiences — It Then Targeted The Blaze

Staff with the Global Engagement Center (“GEC”) told a State Department official that its testbed platform “will NOT focus on US audiences,” but then proceeded to fund a trial targeting The Blaze — a Texas-based media outlet. The Federalist uncovered this detail during discovery in its lawsuit against the State Department and the GEC, which the plaintiffs settled last week after the Defendants agreed to detailed prophylactic measures to prevent similar violations of Americans’ First Amendment rights.

The Federalist, along with The Daily Wire, sued the State Department and GEC in December of 2023, after learning that the defendants had funded the testing, development, and promotion of censorship technologies that demonetized, denigrated, and limited the reach of the media plaintiffs’ speech. The complaint alleged both a First Amendment claim and a claim that the defendants exceeded their statutory authority, which was limited to managing foreign affairs.

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2ea9316-1358-4bd7-97b5-7a04f92a0b2a_1100x100.png

Mamdani’s plan for free buses in NYC hits pothole, told by Albany ‘just not financially feasible’

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is not pushing for free buses in the city this year.

Mamdani’s three campaign promises were freeze the rent, universal daycare, and fast, free buses. As city and state budgets are tight, and disagreement among Democrats blocks Mamdani’s plan, he does not appear to be pushing for free buses to be implemented this year, Politico reported.

Mamdani told the news outlet on Tuesday that he is “absolutely committed to making buses fast and free.”

He has touted a universal daycare pilot as a win.

Meanwhile, New York City Council Speaker Julie Menin and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul support an expansion of a discount program for low-income subway and bus riders called Fair Fares.

While Mamdani has supported expanding the program, in 2024, he singled out Fair Fares as a “means-tested program [that] will never reach everyone they’re meant to.” Click here to read more.

 

USC Bans Men from Parts of Gyms to Make Women, Non-Binary Students Feel Comfortable

A California college has banned men from using certain areas in its gyms to make non-binary students and women more comfortable.

The University of Southern California has adopted a policy suggested by a radical LGBTQ+ activist group to institute the ban, according to the New York Post.

The activist group Student Assembly for Gender Empowerment (SAGE) demanded the new rule for the school’s Lyon Center. SAGE describes itself as a “programming assembly and intersectional feminist organization under the student government, committed to uplifting all voices oppressed by the patriarchy.”

Student Mengze Wu praised the move to ban men from certain workout areas on Mondays and Wednesdays as a way to stop the facility from being too “male-dominated.” Click here to read more.

 

Suspect attacks, repeatedly stabs Calif. sheriff’s office K-9 after slow pursuit

SOLANO COUNTY, Calif. — A high-risk pursuit along Interstate 80 from Dixon to Fairfield early Tuesday escalated into a violent confrontation that left a Solano County Sheriff’s K-9 seriously wounded and a suspect in custody, authorities said.

According to the Solano County Sheriff’s Office, the incident began when deputies spotted a vehicle moving at an unusually slow speed on the freeway in Dixon, which they said was creating a dangerous situation for surrounding drivers during the morning commute. When a K-9 sheriff’s deputy attempted to initiate a traffic stop, the driver failed to yield, triggering a pursuit that stretched along the busy corridor.

The chase continued until officers, working alongside the California Highway Patrol, brought it to a controlled end. A spike strip was deployed, disabling the vehicle near Interstate 80 and Travis Boulevard in Fairfield. Even after the vehicle came to a stop, though, officials said the situation remained tense and unpredictable. Click here to read more.

Read full Article
News they don't want you to see
Wednesday April 8, 2026
Read full Article
News they don't want you to see
Tuesday April 7, 2026
 
 
 

Michigan school, streets might change names after New York Times report on Cesar E. Chavez

The names of some Michigan streets and a school might change after a recent New York Times story alleged that Cesar E. Chavez abused young girls.

Five streets and a school in Michigan are named after the American labor union and political activist who co-founded United Farm Workers in 1962. Chavez died in 1993, but a March 18 news article named two women and alluded to several others who have come forward to allege he sexually abused them.

The city of Lansing is having conversations about renaming its street in Old Town, Scott Bean, director of communications and senior advisor to Lansing Mayor Andy Schor, told Michigan Capitol Confidential in an email that outlined Lansing’s street-naming policy. Click here to read more.


 

14-year-old girl with ‘lengthy’ criminal history strikes police vehicle in stolen vehicle

BALTIMORE — A stolen car slammed into a Baltimore police patrol vehicle during a chase in West Baltimore around 1 a.m. on April Fool’s Day, then crashed again at a dead end as officers tried to stop it.

Audio from the scene captured an officer describing the initial impact: “That vehicle did sideswipe the front of my vehicle when I saw it.”

Police said the stolen car didn’t get far before ending at a dead end and hitting the patrol vehicle again. One suspect got away, with an officer reporting, “The passenger ran on foot going northbound on Ashburton.” Click here to read more.

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2ea9316-1358-4bd7-97b5-7a04f92a0b2a_1100x100.png
 

Michigan Attorney General calls for action as Consumers Energy seeks another rate increase

Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel is continuing to question Michigan’s energy companies, as Consumers Energy, one of the largest utilities in the state, seeks yet another increase to its electrical rates.

The Department of Attorney General released a statement on Monday, reaffirming Nessel’s commitment to intervening in all major rate cases before state energy regulators, slamming Consumers Energy for filing a new rate case within seven days of the Michigan Public Service Commission approving its last increase.

“The rate hike just approved by the MPSC hasn’t even taken effect yet, and Consumers Energy is already gearing up to reach back into the pockets of Michigan families,” Nessel said. “Ratepayers don’t have a choice in who they buy their energy from, yet our utility companies still choose to make these relentless and unsustainable rate hike demands year after year. Announcing plans to file what we expect to be a new multi-hundred-million-dollar request just seven days after securing a nearly $280 million hike proves how truly broken this system has become.” Click here to read more.

 

Services Demand Surges to Three-Year High Despite Rising Energy Costs

New orders for services rose to their highest level in more than three years in March, the Institute for Supply Management reported Monday, as strong demand across the economy proved resilient to the spike in energy prices driven by the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran.

The ISM index for the services sector registered 54 percent, down from 56.1 percent in February but still comfortably in expansion territory for the 21st consecutive month. The slight pullback in the headline number masked what was arguably the most important signal in the report: the barometer of new order surged to its highest reading since February 2023. Click here to read more.

 

Mom accused of faking 3-year-old’s illnesses, leading to unnecessary medical treatments

GLEN ROSE, Texas - A Texas mother accused of child medical abuse is facing multiple charges.

In an 18-page arrest affidavit, Tarrant County investigators said 31-year-old Kaitlyn Laura subjected her 3-year-old son to severe and ongoing medical abuse.

Detectives said for months, Laura claimed her son had serious conditions, such as stomach issues, trouble walking and even cerebral palsy.

For years, he was fed through a tube and kept in a wheelchair, but doctors never diagnosed any of it.

Investigators said, at one point, the child was on 17 different medications, eating less than 1,000 calories a day and consuming dog food. Click here to read more.

Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals