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🚨ALERT🚨FBI Quietly Revises Crime Data: What’s Really Going on With U.S. Violent Crime?
Newly uncovered revisions to FBI crime statistics reveal a sharp increase in violent crime for 2022, raising questions about transparency and the reliability of government data.
October 16, 2024
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When the FBI initially released its “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it proudly announced a 2.1% drop in violent crime nationwide, a statistic that quickly became a talking point for the Democratic Party. The claim was used to counter Donald Trump’s assertions that violent crime was on the rise in the U.S. But a year later, a quiet revision of these numbers has raised eyebrows, revealing a troubling discrepancy.

The Revised Numbers: A Sharp Increase in Violent Crime

In September 2024, the FBI released new data showing that violent crime in 2022 actually increased by 4.5%. This update includes thousands more cases of murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault than previously reported. Astonishingly, the FBI made no mention of this drastic change in its press release, leaving the public and researchers questioning the Bureau’s transparency. The only hint of the revision came in a small, cryptic note on the FBI website, stating, “The 2022 violent crime rate has been updated for inclusion in CIUS, 2023.” But unless one closely compares the updated data with the original, the magnitude of the shift goes unnoticed.

RealClearInvestigations (RCI) discovered this quiet revision by downloading the FBI’s new crime data and comparing it with the initial release from the previous year. The significant adjustment—without any public acknowledgment—raises critical questions about the integrity of the FBI’s crime reporting and its potential impact on public perception.

 

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Why Didn’t the FBI Acknowledge the Change?

More than three weeks after the revised data was released, the FBI has yet to offer an explanation or even admit to the dramatic revision. Researchers and experts are baffled by the lack of transparency. “The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data,” said Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary, who specializes in crime statistics.

These revisions go beyond minor tweaks. The updated 2022 data shows an increase of 80,029 violent crimes compared to 2021, including an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. Such a dramatic shift begs the question: Should we trust the FBI’s crime data going forward?

This is not the first time government agencies have been accused of revising critical data without proper disclosure. Earlier this year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics also quietly revised its job creation numbers, reducing the original estimate by 818,000 people. This pattern of silent corrections raises concerns about the accuracy and transparency of government data in general.

The Black Box of FBI Crime Data

The revisions also highlight a deeper issue with how the FBI collects and reports crime data. The FBI doesn’t simply count crimes reported to police—it uses estimates to account for incomplete data. These estimates rely on reports from police departments, many of which only provide partial-year data, and in some cases, cities report no data at all. Over time, the Bureau’s method of generating these estimates has shifted, impacting the crime rates reported to the public.

“The FBI’s processes, such as how it tries to ‘estimate’ unreported figures, has long been a black box, even to the Bureau of Justice Statistics,” said Jeffrey Anderson, former head of the DOJ’s Bureau of Justice Statistics. This lack of clarity makes it difficult for the public, researchers, and even lawmakers to fully understand how much guesswork goes into the “final” numbers the FBI releases each year.

Many experts believe that the FBI should have issued a clear explanation or press release regarding the significant 6.6% change in violent crime for 2022. Instead, the public was left in the dark, relying on independent researchers like Anderson and Moody to uncover the truth.

 

The Problem With Unreported Crimes

Another challenge with the FBI’s crime data is that it only tracks reported crimes. But according to the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), only 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes are ever reported to law enforcement. This discrepancy means the FBI’s data may paint an incomplete or misleading picture of crime in the U.S.

Nonreporting doesn’t affect all crimes equally. For instance, nearly all murders are reported, but rapes, assaults, and robberies often go unreported. However, the reliability of even the murder rate is questionable after the FBI underreported 1,699 murders and 54,216 motor vehicle thefts in its initial 2022 data.

What Do the Alternative Numbers Show?

The FBI isn’t the only agency tracking crime in the U.S., and its recent revisions stand in stark contrast to data from other sources. The Bureau of Justice Statistics’ NCVS, which interviews 240,000 people annually about their personal experiences with crime, paints a far more alarming picture.

According to the NCVS, violent crime actually increased by 4.1% in 2023. Even with the FBI’s revised numbers, the 4.5% increase in 2022 pales in comparison to the NCVS’s finding of a 29.1% increase that year.

Additionally, the NCVS reports staggering increases in crime during the Biden administration: rape is up 42%, robbery is up 63%, and aggravated assault has surged by 55%. These figures mark the largest three-year increase in violent crime since the NCVS began tracking crime rates decades ago.

What Does This Mean for the Future of Crime Reporting?

With the FBI’s revisions leaving many unanswered questions, it’s clear that public trust in government crime data is at risk. “This lack of transparency harms the FBI’s credibility,” said David Mustard, a crime researcher and professor at the University of Georgia.

While headlines earlier this year declared that violent crime was plummeting, it’s becoming increasingly clear that these rosy narratives may have been based on incomplete or inaccurate data. As Americans continue to express concern about rising crime rates, particularly in urban areas, the discrepancy between reported and unreported crime has never been more critical to address.

As the FBI prepares to release its 2023 data, many will be watching closely to see if the Bureau once again quietly revises its numbers—and whether the public will finally get the full story.

SOURCE:

https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/

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Leftist throws Oakland County Republican Party ‘Nazi sign’ into traffic

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Footage from the OCRP’s security cameras dated Feb. 2, obtained by The Midwesterner, shows a van pulling into the driveway and turning around, then parking before exiting the driveway. The driver is then shown exiting the vehicle, picking up the sign, and throwing it into the right lane on southbound Woodward Ave.

Law enforcement identified Groff as the person in the video after tracing the license plate to his mother, who identified him as the driver, according to the police report.

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MiLEAP’s child care program failed thousands of day care providers

Poor communication from the Michigan Department of Lifelong Education, Advancement, and Potential to child care providers in the Child Development and Care Program could be opening the door to fraud, according to a recent joint legislative hearing on a September audit.

MiLEAP’s call center had only four employees to respond to 124,000 phone calls from child care providers who served low-income families, according to testimony from Leah Decker, auditor at the Michigan Office of the Auditor General, who spoke at the Feb. 3 hearing.

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Decker blamed limited staffing levels. The call center was open to the public for approximately five hours per day each weekday. It was staffed by just two employees at a time. Click here to read more.


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Mortgage rates drop again to a new three-year low

The Federal Reserve announced last month that it would hold its benchmark interest rate steady, as expected by industry experts. “Until there is further economic data to support another rate cut, they will keep the fed funds rate as is,” says Melissa Cohn of William Raveis Mortgage. Meanwhile, stronger-than-expected labor numbers released Feb. 11 have led to predictions that the Fed might not cut rates any time soon.

“We could see at least one rate cut during the first half of 2026 — but if job growth rebounds, it is harder to see a path toward multiple rate cuts this year,” says Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a large listing service in the mid-Atlantic region.

The central bank doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, which are at levels not seen since 2022. “Even without a cut, mortgage rates are nearly a full percentage point lower than they were a year ago, when rates hovered around 6.9%,” says Bill Banfield of Rocket Mortgage. Click here to read more.

 

Largest ‘Precinct’: Why Some Mail Ballots Travel Across State Lines Before Counting Begins

The U.S. Postal Service system of handling and delivering mail ballots often leads to rejected or late ballots, election security advocates contend.

The Election Integrity Network issued two recent reports on the handling of mail ballots by postal employees and the use of regional mail processing centers across state lines. The reports claim that current practices could either result in delayed ballots or confusion over postmarks during an election.

In the 2022 election,. 549,000 mail ballots were rejected, about 1.5% of all absentee/mail-in ballots, the U.S. Election Assistance Commission found. Common reasons for rejected ballots include non-matching signatures and missed deadlines.

“From the outside, those are just ‘undeliverable’ or ‘missing’ ballots in a large system,” an Election Integrity Network report released Monday says. “For each voter, it is the loss of the one voice they have in their own government.” Click here to read more.

 

Florida House approves bill to phase out most local business taxes

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — The Florida House of Representatives passed a bill Tuesday that would eliminate the authority of most local governments to levy business taxes, a move supporters say will remove unnecessary regulatory hurdles for small business owners.

In an 82-26 vote, lawmakers approved HB 103, which targets the annual fees commonly known as local business tax receipts or occupational licenses. Under the proposal, cities and counties would be broadly prohibited from charging businesses for the “privilege” of operating within their boundaries.

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“Businesses should not have to pay local business tax just for the privilege of operating a business in a city or county,” Botana said on the House floor. “They are regulatory burdens on small businesses and hinder growth.” Click here to read more.

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N.J. sex offender picked up by ICE days after being released from prison

A convicted sex offender from India who recently spent more than six years in state prison in New Jersey has been arrested by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Vodela Y. Kottapalli was released from the Adult Diagnostic and Treatment Center in the Avenel section of Woodbridge on Feb. 6, a day after his 29th birthday, according to state department of corrections records.

ICE said on X (formerly Twitter) Monday night that Kottapalli has “pending criminal charges” for sexual assault of a child under 13, shoplifting and public disorder. ICE did not clarify whether the sex assault charge is new or the same offense for which he was convicted.

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Whitmer pitches $800M of new taxes in final budget plan

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer recently pitched five tax hikes aimed at raising $800 million by taxing smokers and vapers, gamblers, and online advertisers in her 2027 budget proposal, her last as governor. Whitmer also wants to pull $400 million from the state’s rainy day fund to combat the state government’s higher Medicaid.

“Michigan is open for business and on the move, and this budget will deliver on the kitchen-table issues that make a real difference in people’s lives,” Whitmer said in a Feb. 11 press release. “My balanced budget proposal will build on our strong record of bipartisan success. It doubles down on shared, long-term priorities to create good-paying jobs, fix roads, save Michiganders money, and ensure every child can read, eat, and succeed.”

The governor said that her recommendation would provide targeted relief to seniors via an expanded tax credit. Families, she said, would benefit from a back-to-school sales tax holiday. Click here to read more.


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A public school teacher was killed when an illegal immigrant fleeing ICE agents in Georgia crashed into her vehicle on Monday, according to authorities.

Oscar Vasquez Lopez, of Guatemala, has been charged with vehicular homicide in connection with the crash that unfolded shortly before 7:45 a.m. in Savannah, according to the Chatham Police Department.

ICE agents tried to apprehend Lopez, who was issued a final order of removal by a federal judge in 2024, during a traffic stop after seeing him enter a vehicle, the Department of Homeland Security said Lopez “initially complied” with agents but then allegedly fled the scene, made a “reckless U-turn,” and ran a red light — colliding into the vehicle of Dr. Linda Davis, a teacher at Herman W. Hesse K-8 School, according to the DHS and local school officials. Click here to read more.

 

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Now, to follow up on that, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has announced that three independent school districts are being investigated for “facilitating student protests against lawful immigration enforcement.”

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A convicted sex offender from India who recently spent more than six years in state prison in New Jersey has been arrested by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Vodela Y. Kottapalli was released from the Adult Diagnostic and Treatment Center in the Avenel section of Woodbridge on Feb. 6, a day after his 29th birthday, according to state department of corrections records.

ICE said on X (formerly Twitter) Monday night that Kottapalli has “pending criminal charges” for sexual assault of a child under 13, shoplifting and public disorder. ICE did not clarify whether the sex assault charge is new or the same offense for which he was convicted.

The federal agency added that he will be held in custody pending removal from the U.S.

Court records state Kottapalli sexually assaulted a child under 13 in Edison on Nov. 15, 2015. He had been held at the treatment center since Oct. 4, 2019 after being convicted. Click here to read more.


I walked away from my high paying job in the mainstream to go independent. I can’t keep doing this work without your support. Consider becoming a paid subscriber for less than $ 1 per week. Click the button below.

Subscribe now


 

Whitmer pitches $800M of new taxes in final budget plan

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer recently pitched five tax hikes aimed at raising $800 million by taxing smokers and vapers, gamblers, and online advertisers in her 2027 budget proposal, her last as governor. Whitmer also wants to pull $400 million from the state’s rainy day fund to combat the state government’s higher Medicaid.

“Michigan is open for business and on the move, and this budget will deliver on the kitchen-table issues that make a real difference in people’s lives,” Whitmer said in a Feb. 11 press release. “My balanced budget proposal will build on our strong record of bipartisan success. It doubles down on shared, long-term priorities to create good-paying jobs, fix roads, save Michiganders money, and ensure every child can read, eat, and succeed.”

The governor said that her recommendation would provide targeted relief to seniors via an expanded tax credit. Families, she said, would benefit from a back-to-school sales tax holiday. Click here to read more.


https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd2ea9316-1358-4bd7-97b5-7a04f92a0b2a_1100x100.png
 

Illegal immigrant allegedly kills Georgia school teacher in car crash while fleeing ICE agents

A public school teacher was killed when an illegal immigrant fleeing ICE agents in Georgia crashed into her vehicle on Monday, according to authorities.

Oscar Vasquez Lopez, of Guatemala, has been charged with vehicular homicide in connection with the crash that unfolded shortly before 7:45 a.m. in Savannah, according to the Chatham Police Department.

ICE agents tried to apprehend Lopez, who was issued a final order of removal by a federal judge in 2024, during a traffic stop after seeing him enter a vehicle, the Department of Homeland Security said Lopez “initially complied” with agents but then allegedly fled the scene, made a “reckless U-turn,” and ran a red light — colliding into the vehicle of Dr. Linda Davis, a teacher at Herman W. Hesse K-8 School, according to the DHS and local school officials. Click here to read more.

 

First photos revealed of transgender mass shooter’s ex-wife — who cited ‘gender reassignment surgery’ as reason for divorce

The ex-wife gunned down by the crazed transgender father of her kids at a high school hockey game in Rhode Island had divorced him years earlier because of his “narcissistic + personality disorder traits,” court documents reveal.

Robert Dorgan’s ex, Rhonda Dorgan, filed for divorce back in 2020, citing his unhinged personality and his “gender reassignment surgery,” according to filings obtained by WPRI.

She later amended the reasoning for their split, which was finalized in 2021, blaming it on “irreconcilable differences which have caused the immediate breakdown of the marriage.”

Police haven’t yet released the victims’ names.

But the family confirmed in a GoFundMe page that the shooter’s ex-wife and the couple’s son, Aidan Dorgan, were those killed when he opened fire at the Pawtucket ice rink on Monday afternoon. Click here to read more.

 

Some States Preventing Schools from Leading Anti-ICE Walkout Protests

States are preventing teachers and school administrators from encouraging anti-ICE walkouts amid rising violence by emotional and uninformed children.

Just over a week ago, Texas Republican Governor Greg Abbott warned Texas school kids that there will be consequences if they skip school to attend anti-ICE riots.

Now, to follow up on that, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has announced that three independent school districts are being investigated for “facilitating student protests against lawful immigration enforcement.”

“I will not allow Texas schools to become breeding grounds for the radical Left’s open borders agenda,” Paxton, who is running for the U.S. Senate from Texas, wrote in a post on X on Monday. Click here to read more.

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Thank you for being here!!

 
 

Kansas governor vetoes anti-trans bathroom bill, citing ‘numerous and significant consequences’

TOPEKA — Gov. Laura Kelly vetoed a controversial bill that forces transgender people to use bathrooms that match their biological sex at birth, saying the poorly drafted legislation would have far-reaching consequences.

The Democratic governor now hands House Substitute for Senate Bill 244 back to a Legislature that has enough Republican votes to override her veto and put the bill into law.

The bill requires government entities to police bathrooms and other private spaces in their buildings, and levies fines against the governing body for failing to comply. It also sets up escalating penalties for individuals who use a bathroom that doesn’t match their sex at birth.

In a statement Friday, Kelly cited multiple situations that would be affected by HB 244.

Kelly said she vetoed the bill because of those “numerous and significant consequences.” Click here to read more.https://kansasreflector.com/2026/02/13/kansas-governor-vetoes-anti-trans-bathroom-bill-citing-numerous-and-significant-consequences/

 

Neighbors claim they haven’t seen missing Enterprise girl for weeks

ENTERPRISE, Ala. (WTVY) -There is a growing mystery surrounding a 3-year-old Enterprise girl who was reported missing early this morning.

Neighbors said they have not seen Genises Nova Reid for several weeks, and, according to multiple sources, police are leery that the child disappeared mysteriously from her bedroom as her mother claimed.

Neighbors who gathered to witness a massive law enforcement search for the girl in the Apache Drive are told News4’s Jacklynn Lambert they did not recall seeing Genises since early January.

Enterprise police posted a flyer saying a parent discovered her missing and a door to the home was open. Click here to read more.


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Voters can lower their own property taxes under Michigan rules

Michigan lawmakers want to do something about high property taxes. They should note that voters already get to decide whether property taxes are worth it when they vote on new local millages. But the deck is often stacked against taxpayers, and legislators should give them a fairer shot.

The Headlee Amendment in the state Constitution subjects property taxes to voter approval. This ensures that taxes have direct popular support. People can reject new millages and let old authorizations expire to lower their property taxes.

This requirement shouldn’t have been necessary, but it was. Elected officials are supposed to represent the interest of local residents, so the taxes they propose ought to be supported by voters. Click here to read more.

 

Waste of the Day: Principal Bought Lobster with School Funds

Most New York public school lunches consist of room temperature chicken nuggets or reheated pizza. But at Wyandanch Memorial High School on Long Island, principal Paul Sibblies dined on steak and lobster at taxpayers’ expense.

Sibblies reimbursed himself a total of $35,519 from 2021 to 2024 using cash meant for a school club, without approval or supervision from anyone besides his own secretary, according to an audit obtained by Newsday.

Key facts: Sibblies paid himself 41 times using money from the high school’s Kappa League club, a leadership program affiliated with the Kappa Alpha Psi fraternity.

The most concerning was the steak and lobster Sibblies and an unidentified person ate at a restaurant in Delaware. Sibblies reimbursed himself $126 for the bill, which also included alcohol. He logged the transaction as “EOY Academic Success.”

Click here to read more.

 

Is Legacy Media Becoming Irrelevant?

The American people’s confidence in mass media appears to be continuing its spiral downward, according to the results of a new Pew Research Center survey. The poll found that 57% of the public has little or no confidence “in journalists to act in the best interests of the public.”

Some conservatives are pointing to dwindling public trust and legacy media layoffs as the last gasp of a dying empire, but analysts say, “Not so fast.”

The Pew poll results, released Wednesday, revealed that just 6% of Americans have “a great deal of confidence” that journalists have the public’s best interest in mind, with 37% having “a fair amount of confidence” (the total of 43% who say they have confidence in journalism is down from 47% in last year’s Pew survey). Click here to read more.

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